Sunday 31 December 2023

Four Quizzes for '24

 New Year Quizzes to work on:


QUIZ no 4 - to amuse and inform

Maps to give you a clue:


Should £100s m be spent on bringing Metro trams to Merry Hill when it will completely obliterate the only public open space, nature and housing land there? YES/NO

Should £10s m, instead be spent on connecting that same tram, from Dudley town on the existing/missing railway link, to connect the tram to the national railway network at Stourbridge Jct?  YES/NO

How do you get a DOUBLE advantage from one sensible decision in this mad, mad world?!

Saturday 30 December 2023

The military are murderers

The military are murder​ers, in my book who kill people like me. They are a menace to humanity. ​ The lot of them - both the armed forces who go all over the world at the behest of the politicians and the wicked, unprincipled arms traders who promote aggression and warfare to make rich pickings.

to Tom Russon 14.12.2023 re car parks, Dudley Tram

Hi Tom - copied to Customer Services and to the Dudley Cabinet because of the tram mention, at the end.

I've had a look at both car parks today.  Pool Road is most unattractive and only the bottom section is in use.  Repairs are taking place above floor 1a.

The Asda car park could easily take the cars I saw this afternoon but it might have to be taken over by the council because the 3 hours maximum stay would have to be lifted.

Such is the desperate need for low cost, highly energy efficient apartments to deal with rising indigenous and migrant populations, I would strongly advise against yet more further education buildings using this valuable land.  We must save farming land to grow more of our own food.  PV solar on flat roofs/rooves is urgently needed because we have to move rapidly out of burning fossil fuels where we can.

What do you think, Tom?

In addition, for urgent climate and cost reasons, we must end the Dudley Tram at Flood Street.  In the long run, the tram must either stay on the railway line down to Stourbridge Jct or, the commuter trains come up the line from Jct station, having originated at Snow Hill station and Oxford/Worcester/London.  Nature, public open space and housing land must not be destroyed by Metro at Merry Hill.  All three must not be concreted, bricked and buried by Metro.  For climate, competent government and for sensible reasons.

What do you think, Tom?

Thursday 28 December 2023

The Illey Lane Secret Passage to open countryside

Dear gentlemen

Can you help/support/give your opinions to me over the use of the 2020 opened footpath that I have, on Christmas Day morning and Boxing Day morning this week, cleared up the slope from the railway line towards Bromsgrove Road?  It can be used, once more!  In 2020, my very life was threatened on two occasions and, a third, when I was trapped by the man until I plucked up courage and pushed past him, with my bike when he could have assaulted me!

We should not be having to walk in the road or on a narrow strip of grass right next to the tarmac, in places.  It is a fast and dangerous rat run that we all use in our cars, don't we?

That secret but attractive path is an unofficial and only safe route to our path network from Bromsgrove Road and Somers Park.  You have an ivy-covered path in one section, you slalom round two hawthorns in another and squeeze through a couple of fences that the anti-walking brigade put up.

But what do you think?

Tim

QUIZ no 4 - to amuse and inform

Should £100s m be spent on bringing Metro trams to Merry Hill when it will completely obliterate the only public open space, nature and housing land there? YES/NO    

Should £10s m, instead be spent on connecting that same tram, from Dudley town on the existing/missing railway link, to connect the tram to the national railway network at Stourbridge Jct?  YES/NO

H​ow do you get a DOUBLE advantage from one sensible decision in this mad, mad world?!    

How we got rid of gas to arrive at 100% electricity

Thanks so much for your Christmas card​ and personally written news.  Good to read and lovely to hear from you.

I am horrified by the spread of war - now to the Middle East as well as eastern Europe/Russia and our own ecocidal behaviour from economic/population growth instead of ecological growth and sustainability.  My blog, timweller1.blogspot.com reveals more of my outrageous opinions​, concerns​ and my jaundiced/sad interpretation of human history.  Don't read it!

​I have changed my opinion on batteries to complement solar PV.  Our Nov 2021, 14.4 kWp set of batteries is working well to import Octopus (transferred in April 2022) Agile tariff in the early hours of the morning when electricity is very cheap and charges up the battery to make for enough electricity to last throughout the day.  In October we completed our transition from gas to 100% electricity and our total energy bill, last week was £50.85 for four weeks, 22 Nov to 21 Dec.  The house is a mini power station to power the UK in the summer months, instead of massive power stations feeding the grid.

In March 2022 we stopped using the gas-fired central heating and now use only Herschel infrared portable electric heaters.  We next got rid of the old gas cooker and bought an inductive electric cooker.  Finally, from gas water heating to instant electric water heaters.  Expensive to do but I used my lifetime savings from 48 years in the one house (thanks for your help in decorating in the 70s - do you remember how you were so brilliant in helping me?!)  The gas meter was taken out for free, by Octopus, on 30 Nov 2023.

Love and best wishes to you all.

Wednesday 27 December 2023

28.9.2014: AN OPEN LETTER TO JUSTIN WELBY, ARCHBISHOP OF CANTERBURY from Stephanie Neville

Dear Archbishop Justin Welby,

I am writing to you following your intervention in the House of Lords in the debate about British Military Action in Iraq. Initially, when I heard you were attending the debate and going to speak, I was extremely pleased that this was one occasion when you had made an active choice to attend a chamber in which I know you are rarely present.

While I disagree with the existence of the House of Lords, at least, so I thought, here was an opportunity for a voice to speak the Christian message of peace and justice. Imagine then my profound disappointment when the only representative of the church to be given the opportunity to inform the debate chose to speak in favour of action which, as a committed Christian, I feel is abhorrent to the faith I follow and its founder, Jesus Christ.

When will we learn? Conflict is an interminable cycle downwards into the worst depths of the human condition; of which the most vulnerable victims are always innocent civilians and from which the only real winners are the arms industry and their friends in the finance sector. I mourn for an institution which calls itself church but which puts their interests ahead of the hope of a future of peace and justice.

Your claim that “ It is the role of the church I serve to point beyond our imperfect responses and any material, national or political interest, to the message of Jesus Christ and the justice, healing and redemption that he offers.” is one with which I strongly agree. As church we are, both individually and collectively called to be prophets, holding up a vision of hope that speaks of another way being possible. But to hear it immediately followed by the words “ But in the here and now there is justification for the use of armed force” suggests that the early part of your speech was merely an empty formulation; when in reality you have chosen to ally yourself, and by virtue of your position, the Church of England, with the temporal powers of this world.

To my mind, as followers of the non-violent Christ, there is no situation, no justification which calls for us to raise weapons of war. This does not mean that I condone the activity of IS: of course I am in full agreement that their barbaric actions (along with those of other armed groups, both those we support and those we don’t) are causing a humanitarian crisis. I agree entirely that now is not a time for inaction, for closing our eyes and ears to the cries of the suffering. But I do fear for a world, and a church, which has come to believe that violent action and total inaction are the only two possible routes when faced with a difficult choice.

For me it is part of the very essence of the Gospel, and not an optional extra, that, in the face of the violent oppression of a regime which victimised the innocent, the route chosen by Jesus was neither violent action, nor passive inaction. It is a route that many in the church are still courageously trying to walk, but which your words suggest may have been institutionally forgotten. It is the route of non-violent, creative resistance, the route of sharing a hope of peace and justice, the route of making visible the pain not to exacerbate it further but to explore and understand and heal it. It is, I believe, the route along which Jesus invites us to follow him.

When Jesus told his disciples in Gethsemane to ‘put down their swords’, swords which they had raised in good faith to protect the innocent and prevent a worse act of violence, I do not believe it was a one off commandment for a given historical moment. I believe it was a commandment he whispers to our hearts repeatedly through the ages: ‘when you hear the battle call, when you see the weapons of war being raised, however good the justification might sound, you my followers, put down your swords’.

My personal church history is a varied one, and these days I hold my denominational identity very loosely, but it was the Anglican tradition which formed my early faith and into which I was both baptised and confirmed. I still hold those roots as a part, though not the whole, of my Christian identity. That said, out of all the churches with which I identify, the Church of England is increasingly the one I struggle with most. I have long been concerned about the church’s choice to associate itself both with military might and financial power; which make words spoken on behalf of the poor look all too often like hollow insincerity. It’s vast wealth and its choice of unethical investment practices, it’s support of a political system where being born into privilege is considered acceptable, and its continued support for acts of state violence, to me are all contrary to the Gospel.

Your words in Friday’s debate did nothing to allay my fears that the Church of England has become corrupted by such associations; and that those members of it who continue to share the Gospel, of whom I know there are very many, do so almost in spite of, rather than because of, the church. My condemnation of your position is paralleled by my admiration of those who continue to  courageously witness to the hope of peace in the name of the church.

I look forward to hearing your response about what drove you to speak as you did and how you are able to understand the Gospel so differently to my reading of it.

You remain in my prayers.

Yours Sincerely

Stephanie Neville

We can all learn from 'I Shall Not Hate'

In my opinion, you do not have the right to sound off a single word (as I have done in the past) about the 75-year-old intermittent war between Israel and Palestine until you have read Jill Parker's recommended and powerful book, 'I Shall Not Hate'.

The author shows similar humanity to those great titans of nonviolence, Gandhi and Martin Luther King Jnr.  Izzeldin Abuelaish is not a Jew, is not a Christian but a Muslim.  On 16 January 2009, 12 weeks after their mother died of leukemia his three eldest daughters and a niece were killed when their bedroom in the family home in Gaza was ripped apart by an Israeli shell.

This month, at least one church in Halesowen has prayed, specifically, for the long-suffering people of Gaza.  In his Christmas Day message, the Pope has, once more, so rightly I think, said that "the Prince of Peace is once more rejected by the futile logic of war."   I would add that Israel and its allies have failed from the first day of the State of Israel, which was born out of terrorism, warfare and the absence of agreement from even one of the surrounding regional neighbours.  Our side profited from aggression, contrary to international law.

LEARN FROM THE BOOK TITLE - and:

Talk to others, especially to those with whom you disagree to see if both of you can concede or, at least understand the other person's point of view.

Our friend and ally, Israel might be led by ourselves in portraying a more principled and generous Good Samaritan approach to build a fairer, more equitable and non-violent world of peaceful co-existence, even with such huge and even fundamental differences in our beliefs and cultures. “We either live together as brothers and sisters of the one human family or we all perish as fools.”

Boycott arms traders like Elbit and UAV Engines of WS14 0DT which are regional arms traders involved in the killings of Palestinians. There are many more British dealers in death and so called ‘defence' work - much to our shame.

We can donate and support the work of the United Nations, MSF and write to our MPs.

The UK is responsible for nearly twice as much global warming

The UK is responsible for nearly twice as much global warming as previously thought, due to its colonial history, Carbon Brief analysis shows.

History matters because the cumulative amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted since the start of the industrial revolution is closely tied to the record temperatures expected in 2023.

Previous analysis had put the UK’s share of cumulative historical emissions at 3.0% of the global total, including CO2 from fossil fuels, cement, land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF).

This made the UK the eighth largest contributor to current warming, behind the US (1), China (2), Russia (3), Brazil (4), Germany (5), Indonesia (6) and its former colony India (7).

According to Carbon Brief’s new analysis, however, the UK is responsible for nearly twice as much warming as previously thought – some 5.1% of the global total – due to its colonial history.

This bumps the UK up to fourth place in terms of its historical responsibility for climate change, still behind the US, China and Russia – but now ahead of India, Brazil and Germany.

Moreover, the UK’s population are the second-highest emitters on a per-capita basis, when accounting for emissions under colonial rule.

FROM: https://www.carbonbrief.org/revealed-colonial-rule-nearly-doubles-uks-historical-contribution-to-climate-change/

Sunday 24 December 2023

Thoughts on the Palestine/Israel horror

It's all talk of wiping out Israel on one side, while Israel is no talk but all action in actually doing it to their neighbour - the constant downtrodden, oppressed and imprisoned Palestinians who never see any improvement in their dire conditions; only starvation, aching thirst,  and the constant fear of house, home and family wiped off the face of the earth by their Bad Samaritan neighbour. Palestinians could always start by showing how to be the Good Samaritan to Israelis before total extinction.



This is what life was like for years, if not for decades, in Gaza. We, in the American-led West are responsible for this scandalous state of affairs. Not just Israel. What is the matter with us lot? We are inhuman, especially our politicians and leaders. We killed 2 to 3 million in Vietnam in the 50s to 70s. Now 20,000 and rising since 7.10.23 in Gaza. It is truly obscene with famine on top of war. Israel is the unjust, greedy rich man in his castle; the Palestinians are the poor man at his gate. And a famous Jew told the story of the Good Samaritan against his own tribe, faith and leaders. He was soon eliminated at 33 years. Like Gandhi and Martin Luther King Jnr.

If you treat a whole nation like dirt, as violent criminals, as encaged dangerous animals, one day they are going to break out of that cage and run amok. As they did, in fact on 7.10.23.

'I Shall Not Hate' is a book that every so entitled, privileged, wealthy Westerner should read.
The disgraceful crying shame of it all, is that their neighbour has everything  - and, much, much more than enough. 

They have the powers, the position to turn things around but they continue in the ways of hate and oppression and refuse to try another approach. So greed and land grabbing continue apace. And their neighbour gets left with ghastly Gaza in a downward spiral.

Wednesday 20 December 2023

from Colin Knipe re climate

Hi Tim

I have not been ignoring you, but merely overloaded with emails having been diverted onto other things over the last few months, including an enjoyable holiday.

My views on climate change are still the same:
**  The hyperbole and lurid warnings about climate disaster that were spouted at COP28 verge on the ridiculous and most have no basis in observed facts.  (How is it that corals have thrived on earth for the last 500 million years when the temperatures for most of that time were well higher than today?!  How is it that agricultural production for most if not all staple crops has markedy increased over the last few decades?  In all parts of the world, many more people die of cold than from heat, so surely there would be a net reduction in deaths from some warming.)

**  The earth's climate is slowly getting warmer but natural processes rather than human activities probably exert the greatest influence - for example, El Nino is having a big effect at present.

**  There has been no significant rise in temperatures or even a small decline over recent decades in some parts of the globe, e.g. mainland USA and much of Antarctica;

**  The Earth is a remarkable self-regulating body whose temperatures have remained within a relatively narrow range over the last billion years, for much of the time when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were very much higher than today, so why should we expect a 'tipping point' if the global average temperature rises by, say, 2 degrees above supposed pre-Industrial levels??

**  Phasing out fossil fuels and achieving Net Zero by 2035 or 2050 or 20-anything else is a pipe dream.  Yes, we should seek to cut down on consumption, increase efficiency, and conserve natural resources, but that's what scientists and engineers try to do all the time.  And we will always need some oil, gas and even coal for power generation and especially for the myriad of other applications and derivatives.

**  The financial costs to society of blindly aiming for Net Zero and phasing out fossil fuels over the next two or three decades are unaffordable and crippling.  It would be far more sensible to invest in mitigation measures whilst keeping our economy going (and that of other countries, including poor, developing countries.)

I could go on but won't bore you any more about climate change.

As for local trams and railways, I agree with you that the Metro extensions are a monumental waste of cash and are taking an inordinate time to construct.  I don't know enough about the potential revived and new rail opportunities and how they would stack up economically.

I hope you enjoy the festive season and have a good 2024.
Best regards
Colin

'The Exchange' and to Rosanne

To the Queen and Glorious Scourge of the wide open door brigade fanatics with their enormous energy bills and no care for the future!

Do go down on the 9 bus, Rosanne and have a coffee and a bite to eat at this lovely, grand coffee house in the old Banking Hall of, first, the Municipal Bank and, later, the TSB.  You'll like it, I think.

NOT YET SENT TO BRUM UNIVERSITY - what do you think?

Sir Crispin Tickell must be turning in his grave at this carry on​ (the Vice Chancellor is a nephew)

I am so sorry that, after two years and this third winter, I am still having to highlight the oddity, the eccentricity of an always wide open front door policy at 'The Exchange'.  It is similar to the eccentric practice of putting Metro trams on two of our region's important, former, mainline railways and, at the most enormous, totally unnecessary expense, too!  This is why it is so serious in your case:
  • This is public money that is literally going out of the wide open front door into the cold air of Centenary Sq throughout the opening hours - to be lost for ever.
  • This is carbon dioxide being emitted.  CO2 has been known to be an atmospheric warming gas for over 170 years.  It comes primarily from burning finite fossil fuels, for example to heat the cold air outside 'The Exchange'.
  • "Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the planet, causing climate change. Human activities have raised the atmosphere’s carbon dioxide content by 50% in less than 200 years."  (Global Climate Change website)
  • It is the most common greenhouse gas that Sir Crispin Tickell alerted Margaret Thatcher to in 1988.
  • Following that, she gave two speeches, first to the Royal Society in 1988 and another to the UN General Assembly in 1989.
  • However, nothing was done, nothing changed, even after our national, regional and local governments all declared climate emergencies from 2019 onwards.
  • The always wide open front door policy started, I believe in, possibly September 2021 from the opening date.  But, certainly from November 2021 when the mechanism failed I was told on Monday.
  • I was told by one of the backroom staff at 'The Exchange' in early 2023 that the doors would be repaired by the summer of 2023.  They were not repaired.
  • Months later, I enquired what had gone wrong.  I was not told.  Instead, the staff reported to Monica that I was being intimidating.
  • My attempt to explain why I was concerned to young staff and for that to be called intimidating is surprising when I thought I was patient and brief.
  • However, it does point up the importance of carbon literacy training.  It must be given to all university staff, in my opinion.
  • In the summer, there was the wonderful welcoming woman staff member on the ever wide open doors who mentioned to me how cold she was going to get when the winter came!  What is so surprising that it was only this member of staff who understood the good sense of keeping the cold out and the warmth in!  No-one else was at all sympathetic or cared or even understood!
  • Therefore, it seems that training is also required in public relation skills for your frontline staff.  Just listen, make a note and pass the matter on for the matter to be de​alt with, instead of showing no sympathy!
  • I met two of your senior staff in a most useful meeting on the 18 December.  However, Monica gave me the impression that she did not understand that saving energy was the top priority, rather than wasting it in the most prodigious quantities as we continue to see at 'The Exchange'.
  • I felt she played down my concern as being, not exactly frivolous but, certainly, of low priority when she had many more serious matters to deal with in the grander scheme of things.  The cost in energy from open doors was minor when compared with the total university energy bill.  Perhaps so but, such is the urgency, we have to do everything we can.
  • ​Certainly, never any shame at being found out!
  • In fact, has a university staff member or student worked out the savings in weight of greenhouse gas emissions from the presentable doorman/woman opening and closing the front door to welcome visitors, instead of your present practice?
  • Monica told me that she drove an electric car, as if this proved how green she was and there was ​absolutely nothing more she needed to do.  (I​ hope she doesn't believe that, really!)
  • Yet, it is taking well over two years to repair doors that could reduce the university's massive energy bill and help slow the accelerating rate of climate disaster for all of us.
  • There are nine tipping points and future prospects do not look good to stop the eventual and complete collapse of both the Greenland and West Antarctic Ice Sheets but, our city's top university is very laid back about it all.  Just those two tipping points are enough to finish off humanity and much terrestrial life, I would have thought.
If we cannot even get a​ welcoming door steward to see to the doorsafter two years, there really is no hope for humanity!  But superman Steve is onto it, next month​, to save the world!!

Best wishes and season's greetings

Monday 18 December 2023

to Monica re The Exchange 4.11.23

OK Monica, you win!

It will be wonderful to meet you and anyone else who wants to join in - especially the Top VIP, the Vice-Chancellor, please who has ultimate responsibility for what is going wrong!

This is what explains to you lovely youngsters why we have to mend our ways:-

There are the external costs of liquidating our assets and drinking deep from the chalice of rich finite fossil fuels that the climate scientists are telling us is a poisonous chalice.

Our forebears lived for thousands of years simply but sustainably.  We in the rich North of the planet are living very richly and comfortably but unsustainably and very briefly in the geological time scale of things.

Financial costs of our activities do not accurately reflect the impact of our unsustainable and very energy rich lifestyles on the planet's life support systems, as Mrs Thatcher rightfully reminded us in 1988.  She said "We have unwittingly begun a massive experiment with the system of this planet itself."

The blessed Margaret said that we must live within our means, our limits and our boundaries.  How right she was but, such a pity she didn't put any of it into practise!

We never factor in any cost for the impact of our human activity on the planet's ecosystems.  Never factor in the cost from the sheer numbers of us on the planet.  Or, even on burning up a one off geological inheritance that took 350 million years to form, in about 350 years - 1750 to 2100.  In other words, we get everything on the cheap without the slightest thought for how future generations are going to get on.  Live now, pay later economics!

Our money, all our riches and all the wealth in the world, even our ever so smart technology can't change the weather from day to day or the climate from one season to another.  Can't stop wildfires and floods or volcanoes erupting or sea levels rising as the Arctic melts and the glaciers disappear.  We humans are so clever we invent and build WMD that can wipe us all out many times over and take every other life form with us, too!

So clever we can send our machines to far flung planets in our solar system but find it impossible for us all to migrate to another planet once we've well and truly mucked up this one.

We can even calculate how our sister or twin planet has an atmosphere so concentrated in CO2 that some scientists say is from a runaway greenhouse effect, as we are probably doing to earth.

Foote and Tyndall in the 1850s showed how CO2 heats up more than air.  However, we know better and we simply cross our fingers and hope for the best with all our rapid conversion of fossil fuels into CO2 to change the chemical composition of the atmosphere - and not for the better..

What is the matter with us extremely intelligent humans?!

From the 5 April to 22 August 2022 with Octopus, my wife and I had total gas and electricity bills of only 75p/day for the two of us.  We just live frugally, simply but still very comfortably.  And we both think we lack for nothing!

"Either we get our numbers and our activities into harmony with the powers of the earth to support life or, collapsing ecosystems will do the job for us." (1970s or 1980s Green Party Manifesto)

Zenergi (JP Weller)

FROM:

https://zenergi.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/PASF-Report-2022-2023.pdf

page 15

The current reporting period is 1 January to 31 December 2022, which is aligned to the Group financial year. This is compared against a fixed base year, which is selected as 1 January to 31 December 2021. The 2021 base year is selected as this is the earliest year that a complete scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG inventory is available. The base year has been adjusted to include full annual emissions of the acquisitions DB Group (Europe) Limited (joined February 2022) and Powerful Allies (joined June 2022) in accordance with our base year recalculation policy.

Total gross location-based and marketbased emissions have increased 21% and 25% respectively this year. This compares to an increase in the employee intensity ratio of 5% and 8% for location-based and market-based emissions respectively. The relatively small increase in employee intensity ratios reveals that some of the gross emission increase correlates to an increase in employee numbers. The largest contributions to increases in emissions is scope 3 business travel and employee commuting, resulting in an increase of 119.2 tCO₂e (136%) and 98.9 tCO₂e (107%) respectively. This is to be expected as business operations pick up again following the COVID-19 pandemic and employees return to the office. Nevertheless, homeworking remains at levels much higher than pre-pandemic.

The largest contributions to reductions in scope 3 emissions is purchased goods and services and capital goods, resulting in a decrease of 75 tCO₂e (35%) and 42.5 tCO₂e (46%) respectively. Electricity energy consumption (kWh) has increased 5% this year. Due to a lower electricity emission factor, this translates to a 3% decrease in scope 2 location-based emissions. Scope 2 market-based emissions are influenced by contractual emission factors that are more volatile, meaning these emissions have increased 65%. This is predominantly due to the Brierley Hill office, which has increased electricity usage as well as a high-carbon contract controlled by the landlord. Gas energy consumption (kWh) has reduced by 33% this year, contributing to a 36% reduction in overall scope 1 emissions.

Jonathan Weller on Climate Science

Hi Dad,

Thanks for this. I've read the exchange between you and Colin and would like to add my input when I get time. 

The statement that there is "no clear relationship between atmospheric CO2 concentration and air temperature" contradicts everything I have studied and is basic scientific fact dating back to the 1900 or before.

"However there is no clear relationship between atmospheric CO2 concentration and air temperature.  For most of the last billion years, CO2 concentrations have been in the thousands of parts per million, sometimes tens of thousands, yet the Earth's temperature has fluctuated within a fairly narrow range and has not run away.  The Earth is a remarkably self-regulating body.  The present concentration of 400+ppm is much lower than the average during the past millions of years.  Of course the concentrations were a little lower during the so-called pre-industrial period, at around 260-290ppm.

So if the concentrations were lower in the pre-industrial era how do you account for the Early Interglacial Warm Period about 10,000 years ago, the warm periods during the Egyptian Old Kingdom, and the Roman Warm Period, when the temperatures were higher than today and for the Mediaeval Warm Period when it was at least as warm?  They have to be natural fluctuations.  Also, there is quite strong evidence that atmospheric temperature rises precede, not follow, CO2 rises, as shown for example by analysis of air trapped in Antarctic ice cores going back 650,000 years or more. (my emphasis)  At the end of the last five glacial periods it appears that the rise in CO2 laggged behind temperature by an average of 600-1000 years."

Yes the Earth has been a remarkably self-regulating body... until now. The Earth was a completely different planet millions of years ago when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were of a similar level to now. For example, there was no Antarctic ice sheet and sea level was hundreds of meters higher. The most appropriate reference period historically is the last 2 million years - the Quarternary period. During these 2 million years, Earth shifted from glacial and interglacial periods numerous times as a result of Milanovich Cycles (subtle and regular changes in the Earth's orbit). Other natural events (such as volcanic eruptions and sun spots) also contributed to relatively short periods of changes in Earth's temperature. Furthermore, the last 10,000 years has been the relatively warm and stable Holocene period, whereby humans have benefited from very stable atmospheric conditions while technically still being in an "ice age" (because we still have ice at the poles, for now). Based on Milankovitch Cycles only, we should be going back into a cooler period. The reality is that the opposite is true as a result of human activity, hence many scientists are now saying we are in the Anthropocene - literally a new Geological Era.

The climatic and environmental changes evidence in paleo records during the Quaternary Period demonstrates a very sensitive and responsive Earth system to natural forcings. For example, for all the talk of atmospheric changes, oceanic changes seem to be overlooked and yet have often had a much more significant role in Earth system regulation. Given that planet Earth has quite literally never experienced the rate of emissions from human activity over the last 150 years, we are in unchartered territory and playing a very dangerous game with our home planet. In summary, Earth went through huge climatic and environmental shifts following much smaller changes in CO2 concentrations that we are currently witnessing!

Regarding Colin's opinions about the IPCC reporting process - yes, the final report has needed to be signed off by politicians and has had numerous edits; however, this has historically resulted in a watering down of the science and over cautious message in order to reach consensus, NOT an over alarmist message. It is only the last couple IPCC reports that the science has become so overwhelming and the stakes so high, that the true state of the planet and our future is laid bare. 

I wonder with all his knowledge, has Colin actually read any of the most recent IPCC report(s)? I would be interested to know if Colin has considered the 9 tipping points. One or two of which we have probably already passed (e.g. the collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is now almost certainly inevitable). The release of methane in the Arctic as permafrost melts is also very alarming, among others.

As a disclaimer, I've written the above all very quickly and from memory of my studies for MSc Polar & Alpine Change from 2012. I revised some of my knowledge a couple years ago after reading the summary of the most recent IPCC report relating to the state of the Cryosphere (referring to the various forms of ice on Earth) and keeping up to date with the headline scientific research in the area

Railway bridges replaced to take trams and trains

Many thanks, Ian for this.

The Dudley to Wolverhampton railway bridge, near Dudley Canal and Caverns (The Portal Building, Birmingham New Rd, Dudley DY1 4SB) over the Birmingham New Road was removed many years ago.  I think it was in the first decade of the 2000s.  Remember, over many decades, councillors, officers and LEPs have approved six Dudley railway lines to be destroyed or left unused, like the two that make up the Black Country Cycle-Walk Mudway listed here.


My understanding is that Network Rail told TfWM/WMCA that every bridge on 
their/our railway
must be replaced to carry heavy rail trains, even though light rail trams are to go over the bridges to begin with.

Since the 1990s, Network Rail has said that freight trains (no mention of passenger trains!) will not run on the Black Country Railway until the 2040s, at the earliest.  In addition, I believe, they have contributed no funds to help pay for the cost of strengthening Parkhead Viaduct or any of the bridges that one day they expect to use.  Yet, how can trains go on the Metro line when trams are expected to run every 15 minutes, unless the CA's insistence that "passive provision" is being built in for heavy rail is to allow freight trains to operate at night?  Once the trams go on this nationally important railway, they cannot be removed for the passenger and freight trains that were so successful for the first 100 years.  In letters and later emails to Centro/PTA (now TfWM), I have been pointing this out since the 1990s.  But no one has taken a blind bit of notice!

Very best wishes for Christmas and the new year to you and your family, Ian.

Saturday 16 December 2023

CA spending is corrupt, immoral and takes money away from the poorest and THEIR homes

Their money goes goes on prestige, vanity projects to impress and rival other UK cities like Manchester.  The Mayor is desperate for High Scam 2 fast to stop at any stations and for a £15 BILLION (2020 figure), 150 miles and 8 lines of Metro, with 380 tram stops.  Both schemes accelerate the climate crisis, deepen the climate emergency and the shortage of vital resources.

This corrupt scheming takes money away from the greater urgency of draught proofing and insulating the homes of the poorest and giving them a modern electricity grid that can cope with renewables powering their homes, NOT flash, grandiose, grand and totally unnecessary High Scam trains, "bus on rails" trams, Sprint buses - "the bus that thinks it's a tram".  Worse, the richest borough out of the seven gets two heavy rail modes (High Scam 2 fast to stop at any stations, plus regular trains), one light rail (Metro) and two kinds of buses - Sprint and the regular buses.  Truly ridiculous.  Absurd.  Immoral.  OTT!

The biggest single item of WMCA spending is, I believe, on transport.

The biggest single transport development spending must be Metro LR extensions, together with VLR, ULR, and Sprint roll out.  This highly expensive spending is totally unnecessary, accelerates depletion of oil and gas reserves, accelerates GHG emissions and hence the climate crisis to threaten all life on earth.  It diverts attention away from climate justice that demands that the top transport attention must be given to boost bus use.

It has also spoiled two mainline railways now given over to trams and, the surviving urban railway lines are still having to play second fiddle to LR, VLR, ULR and Sprint.  THIS IS ABSURD!!

My standing as an Independent candidate for Mayor, in May, is simply to use it as a platform to get the abandonment of these very wrong priorities, to show the more sensible and life-affirming measures to spend money in the short term to get justice for the poor and much less spending on finite fossil fuels in the medium to long term.

Once again, my £5,000 goes NOT to this wayward, clueless, floundering government but to three international humanitarian charities.

The Good Samaritan trick for Israel to try

The Triple Trick of Good Samaritan, King Herod and Climate

I sent this to my lovely, loyal Tory MP:-  If you want to eliminate evil Hamas, don't you have to eliminate every Palestinian (and, quite honestly, yourself) - exactly the cruel policy of King Herod ("a killing rage" by Israel, wrote Ben Wallace MP, former Defence Secretary on 18.12.23) that we remember at this time of the year? Exactly the intention of today's Israel. Nothing changes with our leaders, with our betters and masters. 

The Master Carpenter from Nazareth gets eliminated, too but, not His brilliant idea of trying the Good Samaritan trick on his enemies. Of overcoming evil with good! Or, am I completely out of my mind?

Climate comes in with the Samaritan (Palestinian) doing good to all - even to Israelis.  We rich Brits might show restraint with our GHG emissions and cut them, too to help the poor South survive.

Climate comes in with our ecocidal behaviour to project our wealth, our importance and sheer power around the world through £7 billion aircraft carriers, with only one (after all!) sailing through the Taiwan Straits; our £50 billion of GHG emissions for the High Scam 2 fast to stop at any stations train; and, £15 billion (2020 figure) for 150 miles and 8 lines of tramway, with 380 tram stops by 2040.

to Customer Services

Adrian - referring to your email, below this: 

Please could you go back to Toby and explain that it is most unlikely there was a business case ever written.  If there was, I would like to read it, please.  Secondly, it is inefficient to spend 42 years achieving a pathetic 23 Kms of tramway (18 Kms on the first mainline railway destroyed) from Wolverhampton to Edgbaston Village tram stop; to build a tramway on the UK's ONLY principal mainline railway
and, to put a VLR Innovation Centre on the 100 year old successful Dudley Castle Hill mainline station, plus a 2 Km VLR test track from the former station, on its mainline, to Cinder Bank roundabout.
 
TfWM/WMCA can recover from the mess they have created by completing the Stourbridge Loop to meet the Dudley Tram at Cinder Bank roundabout.  This is the missing link freight line from Port Talbot, via Stourbridge Jct to the roundabout.  It is efficient to bring back commuter and regional passenger trains to a freight railway.  As was done for the first 100 years of the railways in Britain.
 
The Worcester to Derby section of the London to Edinburgh Railway will then be a TRAIN-TRAM-TRAIN principal mainline - a world first for us world-class, brilliant Brits.
 
The UK's Nationally Determined Contributions from HMG says, "The UK commits to reducing economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by at least 68% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels."
 
My suggestion to concentrate on restoring our surviving railway lines, NOT the tram network on those railway lines, is one easy way of helping.
 
Thanks

Thursday 14 December 2023

to John Nightingale re correcting the mess, dated 12 Dec 2023

Yes, John. That is correct. After 100 years of successful use as a regional and intercity mainline railway, the best we can ever hope for to slow climate disaster, to cut traffic congestion and air pollution is for it to be a TRAIN-TRAM-TRAIN railway between London and Edinburgh via the Black Country. 

Do you agree that putting the wrong transport mode on a nationally important RAILWAY line is absurd, a waste of £100s millions spent over 42 years and not something I should have needed to point out to supposedly fully trained and professional staff! Quite apart from the hundreds of councillors on relevant committees. And, even the auditors, plus three regional LEPs that were meant to watch over and check on all these comical shenanigans!!!

Hence, I call them the West Midlands Comedy Authority!

Are you now able to accept, John that I am right and the authorities are wrong over this matter?

Can you accept that my email to send off, please is the BEST way to rescue the hopeless authorities from the mess they have got themselves into? It minimises the appalling damage and horrendous costs they are responsible for. Since the 1990s I have been pointing all this out to them. But to no avail! Not one person gets it. Are you the first, John?

TRAM OR TRAIN for the missing Stourbridge Jct to Dudley link

Hi Tom - copied to Customer Services and to the Dudley Cabinet because of the tram mention, at the end.

I've had a look at both car parks today.  Pool Road is most unattractive and only the bottom section is in use.  Repairs are taking place above floor 1a.

The Asda car park could easily take the cars I saw this afternoon but it might have to be taken over by the council because the 3 hours maximum stay would have to be lifted.

Such is the desperate need for low cost, highly energy efficient apartments to deal with rising indigenous and migrant populations, I would strongly advise against yet more further education buildings using this valuable land.  We must save farming land to grow more of our own food.  PV solar on flat roofs/rooves is urgently needed because we have to move rapidly out of burning fossil fuels where we can.

What do you think, Tom?

In addition, for urgent climate and cost reasons, we must end the Dudley Tram at Flood Street.  In the long run, the tram must either stay on the railway line down to Stourbridge Jct or, the commuter trains come up the line from Jct station, having originated at Snow Hill station and Oxford/Worcester/London.  Nature, public open space and housing land must not be destroyed by Metro at Merry Hill.  All three must not be concreted, bricked and buried by Metro.  For climate, competent government and for sensible reasons.

What do you think, Tom?

to Adrian Hawkins of Customer Services SMICS

Adrian - referring to your email, below this:

Please could you go back to Toby and explain that it is most unlikely there was a business case ever written.  If there was, I would like to read it, please.  Secondly, it is inefficient to spend 42 years achieving a pathetic 23 Kms of tramway (18 Kms on the first mainline railway destroyed) from Wolverhampton to Edgbaston Village tram stop, to build a tramway on the UK's ONLY principal mainline railway
and, to put a VLR Innovation Centre on the 100 year old successful Dudley Castle Hill mainline station, plus a 2 Km VLR test track from the former station to Cinder Bank roundabout.

TfWM/WMCA can recover from the mess they have created by completing the Stourbridge Loop to meet the Dudley Tram at Cinder Bank roundabout.  This is the missing link freight line from Stourbridge Jct to the roundabout.  It is efficient to bring back commuter and regional passenger trains to a freight railway.  As was done for the first 100 years of the railways in Britain.

The Worcester to Derby section of the London to Edinburgh Railway will then be a TRAIN-TRAM-TRAIN principal mainline - a world first for us world-class, brilliant Brits.

The UK's Nationally Determined Contributions from HMG says, "The UK commits to reducing economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by at least 68% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels."

My suggestion to concentrate on restoring our surviving railway lines, NOT the tram network on those railway lines, is one easy way of helping.

Thanks

Tim

On Wed, 13 Dec 2023 at 15:48, Customer Services <customerservices@tfwm.org.uk> wrote:
Your case number is 39203

Dear Mr Weller

Thank you for email to Transport for West Midlands (TfWM), received on 4 December 2023, regarding Jewellery Quarter train services.

Having spoken to Toby Rackliff, West Midlands Rail Executive’s Rail
 
Policy Strategic Lead, I understand that a reply to your enquiry was sent in September, which made the two following points:  
  • The West Midlands Trains proposal to which you refer had a very poor business case and was operationally inefficient so was not pursued
  • Further updates on the Wednesbury – Brierley Hill metro extension project will be posted on the WMCA website

Guardian re 422 ppm. Up 5 ppm in 12 mths

At the time of writing it is 422.36 parts per million. That is 5.06ppm more than the same day last year. That rise in 12 months is probably the largest ever recorded – more than double the last decade’s annual average.

To give some perspective, exactly a decade ago the concentration was 395.64ppm. Then the scientific community worried about the effect on the weather if we were to pass the 400 mark. Now we know: the result is catastrophic heatwaves, storms, droughts, floods and rapidly increasing and unstoppable sea level rise.

The figures underline the fact that after 27 annual meetings of the convention, all the efforts of nearly 200 member states to tackle the menace of the climate crisis have been a failure, so far. The situation continues to get worse ever more rapidly. There is no sign of carbon dioxide levels going down, let alone reaching the “safe” level of 350ppm.